Tottenham vs Leeds: match start time, broadcast info, squad news, previous meetings, forecast, and betting odds

Tottenham have secured back-to-back wins under Roberto De Zerbi, edging further away from the relegation scrap with what many inside the club consider their finest performance of a turbulent season. The victory at Aston Villa followed a similarly resolute display against Brighton, a game that would have made it three wins on the spin had it not been for a stoppage-time equaliser conceded last month.

Match Context

The fixture, once billed as a relegation six-pointer, now carries a different weight. Leeds United and Nottingham Forest have both confirmed their Premier League survival, leaving Tottenham and West Ham United locked in a straight fight to avoid the final drop. Daniel Farke’s beaten FA Cup semi-finalists sit 16th, seven points clear of trouble after winning three of their last four league games. For Spurs, the win at Villa Park hauled them out of the relegation zone and above West Ham. A victory against Leeds would put them four points clear of the Hammers with only two matches remaining.

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley have already been relegated. The battle for the last survival spot has been intensified by West Ham’s recent defeat, and Tottenham know that a positive result on Monday would effectively secure their top-flight status.

Team News

De Zerbi reported no fresh injury concerns after the Villa win, but his treatment room remains crowded. Dominic Solanke is nearing a return from a hamstring injury; the Spurs head coach hopes the striker might be available for the following week’s match against Chelsea. Cristian Romero, who suffered a high-grade partial tear of his medial cruciate ligament, is out for the rest of the season, though there is a possibility he could feature for Argentina in the 2026 World Cup if he recovers in time for their June friendlies. Xavi Simons ruptured the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee and will miss both the remainder of the campaign and the World Cup; he is expected to undergo surgery and begin rehabilitation. Mohammed Kudus has suffered a setback in his recovery from a significant quad injury sustained in January. He had returned to team training but now requires further specialist review and may need surgery — his season is over and his World Cup participation is in doubt. Dejan Kulusevski continues his recovery from a serious knee injury and has not featured for Spurs this season; there remains a slight chance he could play for Sweden at the World Cup. Wilson Odobert ruptured his ACL in February and is out until at least late 2026 or early 2027. Ben Davies underwent a second operation on a fractured ankle in January; his contract expires this summer and his availability for Wales in the World Cup play-offs is a doubt. Richarlison, who was sidelined for up to seven weeks with a hamstring injury in January, has returned to full training and is available.

Guglielmo Vicario is not yet ready to return from injury. De Zerbi allayed any fears that Micky van de Ven or Rodrigo Bentancur had picked up new problems after the Villa game — Bentancur was substituted as a precaution due to tiredness and is fit. James Maddison was an unused substitute for the third consecutive game as he awaits his first appearance in a year following a ruptured anterior cruciate ligament.

Leeds remain without Swedish left-back Gabriel Gudmundsson due to a hamstring injury. Bulgarian midfielder Ilia Gruev will miss the rest of the season with a meniscus knee injury sustained in training.

The De Zerbi Effect

Spurs supporters will hope a genuine corner has been turned thanks to the impact of Roberto De Zerbi. His methods, which initially yielded mixed results, now appear to be taking hold of the squad in the short-term. The team is playing with greater belief, confidence and momentum at long last, showing considerably more fight than earlier in the campaign. De Zerbi has overseen a clear change in the mood around the club, with players responding to his tactical demands and man-management. The performance at Villa Park was described as arguably their best of the season — a significant statement given the lengthy injury list that has forced him to field a patched-up side week after week.

The underlying numbers hint at a side finding its rhythm. Tottenham have slightly outperformed their expected goals, having scored 39 times from an xG of 35.8. Leeds, by contrast, have underperformed their metrics: their Expected Points suggests they have been unlucky, and their Expected Goals (xG) are among the higher figures for teams in the lower half of the table, pointing to issues with chance conversion. Farke’s Premier League record stands at nine wins, 13 draws and 12 losses with Leeds, but statistics from November 2025 indicated a challenging win percentage of just 14.48 per cent and the lowest points-per-game ratio of any Leeds manager in the competition’s history. Farke did, however, guide the club to promotion in the 2024-25 season, accumulating 100 points.

Prediction and Odds

Given the renewed belief coursing through the Spurs camp, it would not be at all surprising to see them chalk up another vital win here. Yet Leeds are in strong form themselves and know how to grind out results. Tottenham’s home record this season is poor — only two wins in the top flight — while Leeds have won only two away games all term, though eight of their 17 fixtures on the road have finished level. The head-to-head history favours Spurs: Leeds’ last victory in this fixture came in May 2021, and they have not registered an away win over Tottenham for 25 years. Broadly, Tottenham have 42 wins to Leeds’ 33.

The match takes place at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, which opened in 2019, replacing the historic White Hart Lane. It has a seating capacity of 62,850, making it the third-largest football stadium in England and the largest club ground in London. Its retractable pitch and single-tier South Stand — the largest in the UK — are designed to foster an intense atmosphere. Kick-off is at 8pm BST on Monday May 11, 2026. The game will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports’ Monday Night Football, with coverage beginning at 7pm BST on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League. Subscribers can also stream via the Sky Go app. Odds via Betfair (subject to change) price Tottenham at 17/20, a Leeds win at 29/10, and a draw at 14/5. The likeliest outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline reflecting both teams’ recent vim and the statistical weight of draws in away contests and Spurs’ home struggles.