Expats choose Dubai over London as tax experts press HMRC for clarity

Officials at HM Revenue & Customs may issue updated guidance on how taxpayers caught in conflict zones can apply for ‘exceptional circumstances’ relief, as British expatriates in Dubai weigh personal safety against potential UK tax bills.
The accountancy firm KPMG has advised clients that, while there is no indication yet, HMRC could clarify how these rules operate in the context of the current Middle East conflict, mirror its approach during the COVID-19 pandemic. The advice highlights the acute dilemma for an estimated 130,000 to 240,000 British nationals in the UAE, where drone strikes and regional instability have prompted safety concerns and disrupted travel.
The ‘Exceptional Circumstances’ Test
At the heart of the issue is a specific provision within the UK’s Statutory Residence Test (SRT). This rule allows for up to 60 days spent in the UK to be disregarded if an individual is physically prevented from leaving due to events beyond their control, such as war, civil unrest, or a natural disaster. Successfully claiming this relief can be the difference between remaining non-resident for UK tax purposes and becoming resident, with significant financial consequences.
However, securing this relief is notoriously difficult. HMRC scrutinises each claim on a case-by-case basis, requiring strong evidence. The precedent set during the pandemic, where HMRC issued specific guidance recognising official travel bans and border closures as valid grounds, offers a potential blueprint. The current UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office advice for the Gulf region is “all but essential travel,” a status which may not automatically qualify for disregarded days, increasing the need for clarity from the tax authority.
KPMG, which offers international private client tax services, is actively guiding individuals through this complex landscape. The firm assists clients with navigating UK tax residence rules, reporting obligations, and the soon-to-be-abolished remittance basis for non-domiciled individuals.
A Looming Tax Deadline Adds Pressure
The urgency for clear guidance is compounded by sweeping reforms to the UK tax system coming into force in April 2025. The government is abolishing the non-domiciled regime, shifting to a residency-based system where UK residents are generally taxed on their worldwide income and gains.

For new arrivals who have been non-resident for a decade, a four-year tax exemption on foreign income and gains will be available, albeit while forfeiting the Personal Allowance and Capital Gains Tax annual exemption. Current non-doms will have transitional arrangements, including a two-year ‘Temporary Repatriation Facility’ to remit pre-2025 funds at a reduced 12% tax rate. Furthermore, Inheritance Tax will also become residency-based after April 2025, potentially affecting worldwide assets after ten years of UK residence.
For expats in Dubai, a return to the UK triggered by the conflict could have immediate and future tax impacts. Returning within five tax years of departure can activate ‘temporary non-residency’ rules, potentially resulting in retrospective Capital Gains Tax bills on assets sold while abroad. Gains on UK property or businesses sold while resident in Dubai could be taxed at up to 24%.
Navigating Disruption in a Regulated Environment
The geopolitical situation itself presents practical hurdles. The drone incidents that have contributed to the instability occur in an environment where aerial activity is tightly controlled. In Dubai, recreational drone flying is permitted only for registered users with approved devices in specific areas, with strict no-fly zones near airports and government buildings. Commercial operations require licences, and tourists are effectively prohibited from flying drones without near-unattainable permits.
For British expats, the attractions of Dubai—tax-free income, lifestyle, and career opportunities—are now being weighed against personal security. The decision to leave potentially intersects with a pivotal moment in UK tax policy, creating a ‘health versus wealth’ calculation where the rules of residency, and the potential for exceptional relief, have never been more critical.



